ignorance is bliss

random is an object that changes its properties over time.

as if there is a tracking device following the object. How?

somehow and it is not important.

we focus on observations of the object that is random.

there is of course a fixed observer with respect to the random variable unless otherwise the object can not be random.

probabilists the fixed point assume further sequence of random variables and presumes their randomness - identical and or otherwise

often they pick on identical random variable

next they pick on time sequence and to make life easier they forget what were chosen so far and chose again - they call it an independent object observation

the objects belonging to the same population is further assumed to be identical - i am not criticizing

suppose i am dipping a device on the same river at the same location at different time - i get sequence of water speed - they are random presumably - I am not critique

this fow speed data can be integers (every minute in 2017-18), it can be rationals or real

Probabilists studying this flow data may like to create a model for predicting future with some certainty of outcome - suppose we are going to build a dam canal at this location five years hence how much water we shall be able to harness yearly so that we under what operational parameters and what benefit we may derive from industrial and farming usage

what is our confidence level of our predictions

the other day I curiously heard a lecture of  b v rao trying to make probabilistic model mixing of hot and cold water and predicting its temperature over time - you can judge his exposing yourself

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Lv3o4OOHG_w

universe is a random variable when i am the observer time invariant - the same always

i may leave universe as such saying random and not make any further assumptions regarding its randomness and what properties of universe I am observing  - my health wealth knowledge business popularity happiness memories ... any quantifiable measure per unit of time

they are variable and random and leave them to be themselves if they have their own sweet will

I do not influence them

while i surely cannot change

standing or sitting on a boulder in a stream I am in a motion - illusion

i am absolute my coordinates do not change - i can peruse the changing surroundings but i cannot pursue the change - i cannot change my coordinate or home and always witness the change but i cannot capture the change

i cannot get involved no matter what - illusion surrounding is forever breaking away disappearing from me - I am just an witness - i am born married to change

change cannot be without me - the fixed point - me has some known properties besides being fixed point - unknown absent empty and I immune to my changing universe that depends only on my faculty of imagination

as a result

the universe is random without a set of possible outcome with unknown measure or distribution associated with that set ~ random as random can be ~ all hypothetical

i have challenge that i took very seriously how to cope with constantly changing universe some were causing indigestion literally - grief fear anger pain madness

my feelings

their cause is not universe but me the fixed point without option i have to ignore the change without any further thought without learning any lesson ~ i must fail and fail and fail without option - i can never even dream departing me for a moment no matter how horrible is my existence in this universe

i being fixed point have to let all moments pass without memorizing ~ i may not have any choice here either

I got up about two hours back - today is black friday - in usa those who wish to keep up to date with time they go out shopping and most sales takes place today

i have already ordered online for about six belts of belts and two accessories for my cell phone a card holder darjeeling tea a dry wet grinder for my cooking. i have a shopping list of daily needs that i shall purchase

i still have a dream of all weather sunroom with glass roof.